The 2026 FIFA World Cup, powered by data science.

NGN Offside follows the 2026 FIFA World Cup to bring you stories inspired by numbers. The analysis is brought to you by NetSI Sport, Northeastern's Network Science research hub specializing in data and sport.

Round of 32

Cape Verde goalkeeper Vozinha (left) and Argentina's Lionel Messi (right)
Horizontal bar chart titled "Best shot-stopping efficiency (GSAA%)" showing goalkeepers at the 2026 FIFA World Cup (Gameweeks 1–3), measured as post-shot expected goals minus goals, divided by shots faced, for keepers facing at least 20 shots. Bars from highest to lowest: Mostafa Shobeir (Egypt) 4.97%, Dominik Livaković (Croatia) 3.63%, Diogo Meireles Costa (Portugal) 3.58%, Gregor Kobel (Switzerland) 2.61%, Angus Fraser James Gunn (Scotland) 2.47%, Patrick Beach (Australia) 1.80%, Vózinha (Cape Verde) 1.69%, Mohammed Al Owais (Saudi Arabia) 1.66%, Hernán Galíndez (Ecuador) 1.64%, and Thibaut Courtois (Belgium) 1.48%. Vózinha, highlighted in bold, ranks 7th. Data from StatsBomb; graphic by NetSI Sport for Northeastern Global News.
Side-by-side shot maps comparing goalkeeper Vózinha (Cape Verde) and forward Lionel Messi (Argentina) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Gameweeks 1–3. Each side pairs a pitch view showing shot locations with a goal-mouth view showing where shots ended up; dot size reflects shot quality (pre-shot expected goals). The left panel, in yellow, shows shots Vózinha faced. Shots cluster densely around the penalty spot and top of the box. The goal-mouth view shows 16 shots (14 wide or high, 21 blocked or short not shown), with two goals conceded marked as filled dots low and central. His totals: 51 shots faced, 2 conceded, 10 saved, 4.57 pre-shot xG, and +1.82 goals prevented versus expected. The right panel, in blue, shows shots Messi took. Shots cluster centrally just inside and around the penalty area. The goal-mouth view shows 10 shots (2 wide or high, 3 blocked or short not shown), with goals spread across the frame. His totals: 15 shots, 6 goals, 1 saved, 7 on target, 2.80 pre-shot xG, 40.0% conversion, and +3.20 versus pre-shot xG. Data from StatsBomb; graphic by NetSI Sport for Northeastern Global News.
Data Analysis

Argentina-Cape Verde preview: it’s a matchup between Messi vs. Vozinha

Argentina’s Lionel Messi is the World Cup’s all-time leading scorer with 19 career goals —  including six through three games in this tournament, which is tied for most as of Thursday morning. 

On Friday, Messi will lead Team Argentina against Cape Verde in the knockout stage. On paper, it’s a one-sided matchup; Argentina is No. 1 in the FIFA rankings, to No. 67 for Cape Verde — the widest gap between opponents in the Round of 32.

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Haaland controls the ball at chest height with his foot as Sangare closes in from behind, with other Ivory Coast players trailing in the background.
Data Analysis

What data reveals about Norway’s knockout match against Ivory Coast

What happens when two similarly matched dark horse teams compete against each other on the World Cup stage? 

You get a game like Tuesday’s close knockout match between Ivory Coast, ranked 33, and Norway, ranked 31. 

While Norway emerged victorious, with a 2-1 score over Ivory Coast the two teams spent much of the match crisscrossing each other in racking up expected goals, or xG, a measure used to determine a team’s chances of scoring, according to data from Northeastern’s NetSI Sport research group. The higher a team’s xG, the more likely they are to score based on mathematical probability. 

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Michael Olise attempts a bicycle kick during a World Cup game against Sweden.
Data Analysis

Meet Michael Olise, the conductor of France’s mighty offense

France’s Michael Olise nearly had the goal of the World Cup. 

In a match against Sweden on Tuesday, a deflected pass soared upward toward the forward, who was unguarded in the scoring box with his back to Sweden’s goal. He spun around, tracked the ball, and — body parallel to the ground — unleashed a daring bicycle kick. The ball ricocheted off the far post, denying him a spectacular goal with a high degree of difficulty, given his distance from the goal and adjustments he had to make to shoot. France went on to win, 3-0, anyway.

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Brazil's Vinicius Junior controls the ball under pressure from two Japan defenders during the World Cup knockout match.
Data Analysis

How Brazil beat Japan in the knockout round, according to the data

Brazil’s World Cup knockout match against Japan ended in a 2-1 victory for the South American team. But the Japanese team held its own against Brazil’s pressure early on, ending the first half with a 1-0 lead.

So what tactical shifts might the Brazilians have deployed in the second half to claim the game? 

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Paraguay players celebrate together on the field, fists clenched and shouting, surrounded by teammates and a packed stadium crowd.
Data Analysis

How Paraguay knocked Germany out of the World Cup, according to the data

Paraguay defeated Germany 4-3 in a shootout in the World Cup Monday, marking one of the tournament’s biggest upsets. The victory vaulted lower-ranked Paraguay — No. 41 in FIFA’s rankings into the round of 16. That not only kicked No. 10 Germany out of the tournament but also gave the country its first ever penalty shootout loss in World Cup history.

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Ivory Coast's Yan Diomande drives the ball forward during a FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E match against Curacao at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia.
Data Analysis

World Cup knockout stage preview: Three intriguing games to watch

The 2026 World Cup has entered the knockout stage, starting Sunday with Canada’s 1-0 win over South Africa. The tournament’s intensity only accelerates from here, with three knockout matches per day from Monday through Friday, as the competition builds toward the final on July 19. 

The graphic below shows the first wave of matches and the disparity between the teams in the world FIFA rankings.

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U.S. soccer fans cheering in the stands, one waving a USMNT flag, at a packed stadium during a World Cup send-off match.

The American folk classic resonating with World Cup fans

The iconic, homesick lyrics of the John Denver single are connecting World Cup fans from opposing nations as they join together in song.

The sound of tens of thousands of voices singing an American folk classic rang out across the sunlit Puget Sound as the U.S. men’s national team savored the afterglow of a comfortable World Cup victory over Australia inside Seattle’s open-air Lumen Field last week.

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Mexico goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa is lifted into the air by celebrating teammates following Mexico's 3-0 win over Czechia in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage.
Data Analysis

Host nations make it to the knockout round. What’s their strategy?

Maybe there is some truth to home field advantage after all. 

The World Cup’s three host nations –the United States, Mexico and Canada – have all made it to the knockout round. 

So what has led to each team’s success in the first two weeks of the tournament so far? 

It’s not just about the fans.

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France's Ousmane Dembélé and Kylian Mbappé celebrate during the 2026 World Cup group stage.
Data Analysis

Here are the numbers that explain the World Cup group stage

The 2026 World Cup group-stage is complete. Now, the tournament turns to the knockout round — win or go home — beginning Sunday afternoon. 

The top scoring teams all advanced to the knockout round of 32. France, Germany, and Netherlands tied for the most goals in the group-stage with 10 goals each. Argentina, the United States, Canada, Norway, Senegal, and Brazil were next with each team securing eight goals.

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First Stage

Lionel Messi and Marco Friedl in a physical challenge for the ball during a World Cup match, with Messi pulling ahead.
Data Analysis

3 things to watch for when you attend a World Cup game

Thousands of fans attending World Cup matches this summer are experiencing professional soccer live for the first time — the atmosphere, the spectacle, the goals. But underneath all of it is another game entirely. The pass you didn’t see coming. A player’s subtle movement to corral a pass. The strategy that cracked open the defense. 

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South Africa players celebrate on the pitch after defeating South Korea in a 2026 FIFA World Cup Group A match in Guadalupe, Mexico.
Data Analysis

South Africa reaches knockout round in World Cup for first time ever

South Africa defeated South Korea 1-0 on Wednesday night, a historic result that secured its place in the World Cup knockout stage for the first time in the country’s history of World Cup appearances. 

South Africa will face Canada on Sunday, in the tournament’s first knockout round game.

An underdog in the tournament given its 61st ranking by FIFA, South Africa began the World Cup with a 2-0 loss to host country Mexico, managing only three shots – none on target. But the beginnings of South Africa’s turnaround could be seen in the data. Across its three group-stage games, South Africa only surrendered three goals, leaning on its defense to withstand offensive pressure and regain possession of the ball. 

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Cristiano Ronaldo wearing a red jersey raises one arm in celebration on the pitch during an international match.

Football or soccer? A linguist explains the origins behind the divide

Fans might argue about which term for the sport is right and wrong, but a linguist says both are valid and come packed with history.

World Cup 2026 has already provided compelling match ups between the world’s top teams, but in the mix with a battle over the ball is another fight: one over words.

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Haiti goalkeeper Johny Placide stretched in the air to save the ball on the pitch as a shot goes wide during the Group C World Cup match against Morocco in Atlanta.
Data Analysis

Own goals are soaring at World Cup. Here’s the data behind the trend

Egypt led Belgium 1-0 midway through the second half of its first World Cup match on June 15. As Belgium sent a crossing pass toward the net, multiple defenders tried to prevent Belgium forward Romelu Lukaku from scoring. The pass struck Egypt’s Mohamed Hany’s leg, and the ball goes into the net, tying the game 1-1, and ultimately leading to a draw. 

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ohn McGinn #7 of Scotland and Rayan #26 of Brazil battle for the ball during a FIFA World Cup match.

What heat maps can tell us about the World Cup teams

Pressure heat maps are helpful to understand a soccer team’s tactical approach to regain possession of the ball.

In soccer, a well-timed pressure event can turn the direction of a game in an instant. 

In layman’s terms, a pressure event is when an opposing team takes defensive action against players in possession of the ball to not only restrict their ability to play but to also win it back. 

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Scottish fans in kilts and blue face paint play bagpipes and celebrate among a crowd at a park in the United States.

Why ‘high-emotional’ videos of World Cup tourists are going viral

World Cup social media is abuzz with positivity as videos show newfound fellowships between international fans worth celebrating.

Scots wear orange traffic cones and march down Boston avenues to piercing bagpipe melodies. Japanese soccer fans don game-day face paint as they sink their teeth into authentic Texas barbecue. Algerian visitors stand pridefully in Lawrence, Kansas, as locals unveil a rendering of the Algerian national flag delicately carved into the grass.

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Germany goalkeeper Manuel Neuer dives to make a save during warmups before the World Cup Group E match against Curaçao in Houston.

How World Cup goalies can find success using ‘short memory’

Playing the most isolating position in all of sport can be a heavy mental burden for goalkeepers, but certain psychological tricks can help.

To err is human, the saying goes, but for some of us, ruminating on our errors may obstruct our ability to move forward. Goalies may be especially susceptible to this, as their missteps are not only on display for a stadium to witness but can also determine the fate of entire tournaments. 

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Curaçao players Juninho Bacuna and Leandro Bacuna celebrate on the field after a FIFA World Cup Group E match at Kansas City Stadium.
Data Analysis

Everyone loves an underdog. Here are some of the ones in the World Cup

There’s been historic ties, resounding victories and disappointing losses.  

And nearly two weeks into the biggest World Cup on record, a few key teams are emerging as the underdogs to watch. 

Among them is Cape Verde, ranked 67th out of 211 in the FIFA Men’s World Ranking, which this week followed up its stunning tie against Spain, ranked 2nd, with another exciting tie in its game against Uruguay, ranked 16th. 

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Turkey's Can Uzun, left, and Turkey's Kenan Yildiz hang their heads after a loss against Paraguay.
Data Analysis

The data shows Turkey, Ecuador have excelled. Neither team has won

Sixty-two shots. Zero goals. That’s been the story for Turkey through its first two World Cup games. Despite the scoreboard showing two losses, the data shows the team has dominated quality scoring chances. 

See the graphic below with Turkey’s shot map through its first two games; the white circles show where shots were taken, and the larger the circle the larger the xG (expected goal). Their shots cumulatively produced a total of 3.6 expected goals. For a team considered a dark horse in the tournament, it’s an unlucky result, according to Brennan Klein, who leads Northeastern University’s NetSI Sport research group.

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Marco Friedl of Austria, goalkeeper Alexander Schlager of Austria, and Lionel Messi of Argentina go for the ball during a match.
Data Analysis

Messi broke the record for World Cup goals. What led to his success?

Argentina’s Lionel Messi is officially the top scorer in men’s World Cup history. At least for now. 

After scoring two goals for his home country in a match against Austria last night, the number of goals Messi has bagged in World Cup matches jumped to 18, surpassing the previous record of 16 goals held by Germany’s Miroslav Klose

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Brothers Theo Hernandez and Lucas Hernandez share a laugh on the pitch during France's UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying match against Ireland at Parc des Princes.

Could sibling rivalries help several teams in the 2026 World Cup?

Sibling rivalries that many see as negative could actually boost performance for these athletes, according to a sibling psychologist.

Playing on a World Cup national team is not unlike being part of a family. Players build brotherly bonds on and off the field in the heat of training, travel and competition. But for a handful of players, the 2026 FIFA World Cup is literally a family affair. 

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Players with Cape Verde celebrate on the field after first goal.

‘Fairytale game.’ The data shows how Cape Verde does it again.

Cape Verde’s first two games in the World Cup have been draws. It’s how they’ve gotten there that's been surprising.

Cape Verde turned in another thrilling performance on Sunday in a 2-2 draw with Uruguay, this time with a much different style of play than in their first game, according to the data.

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Japan's Ayase Ueda celebrates after scoring against Tunisia in a 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match at BBVA Stadium in Monterrey, Mexico.

What the data tells us about Japan’s historic match against Tunisia

Japan made history this week. Here’s what to know about its 4-0 game against Tunisia.

With its 4-0 win on Sunday against Tunisia, Japan became the first Asian Football Confederation team in all of World Cup history to score four goals during a game, according to FIFA. The key to Japan’s historic victory was its 3-4-2-1 player formation, according to data analyzed by Northeastern experts.

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A view of the exterior to the Four Seasons Hotel in Boston.

World Cup hotel demand in Boston falls short of forecasts

The overall picture for industry leaders, at least in Boston, is perhaps more mixed than expected.

It might just be the windfall that never materialized. 

The influx of tourists and soccer fans spending money on hotels, airfare and other amenities to the 2026 FIFA World Cup was meant to be a boon to the hospitality industry. But with record high ticket prices, expensive airfare and lower demand for hotel rooms, the picture for industry leaders, at least in Boston, is perhaps more mixed than expected. 

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Croatia goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic dives to save a penalty from England's Harry Kane during their FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage match in Dallas.

8 numbers that tell the World Cup’s story over the first week

Elite goal scoring. Huge saves. Hydration breaks. The 2026 FIFA World Cup is off and running. Here’s a look at what the numbers say about the first week of action.

Across 16 cities and three countries, the world’s biggest sporting event is one week old. Here’s a look at some key numbers from the first round of group-stage matches that tell the World Cup story so far. 

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Jude Bellingham, wearing England's No. 10 shirt, runs with the ball as two Croatia defenders give chase during a 2026 World Cup match at AT&T Stadium in Dallas.

Here’s what data says about the top teams in the World Cup

Northeastern data analysis show tendencies of the top World Cup teams such as Spain, Portugal, England, France and Argentina.

The first week of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is officially in the books. How did the top five ranked teams perform? 

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Japan's Tsuyoshi Watanabe drinking from a water bottle during a hydration break at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

Are hydration breaks leading to more attempted shots?

Researchers say players are attempting more shots within minutes after hydration breaks.

One week into the World Cup, the early data show that more shots are being taken immediately after the new hydration breaks.

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Norway supporters packing the stands at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, waving flags and scarves during the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage match against Iraq.

Data comes to life as researcher attends World Cup match

Northeastern’s Brennan Klein was among the 63,000 fans at the Norway – Iraq match.

“Magical.” 

That was the feeling that Brennan Klein, a Northeastern data researcher and lifelong soccer fan, says he felt when he could see his professional work with numbers and statistics come alive at a World Cup match on Tuesday. 

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Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie embrace teammates after scoring the opening goal for the U.S. men's national team against Paraguay in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group D match in Inglewood, California.

Key takeaways from the data of host countries’ first World Cup games

The U.S. and Mexico grabbed wins in World Cup openers, while Canada played to a draw. Northeastern’s Brennan Klein breaks down the data.

The United States and Mexico opened the World Cup with victories, while the third host country, Canada, played to a draw. 

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Cape Verde goalkeeper Vozinha stretches to make a save during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Group Stage match against Spain in Atlanta.
Data Analysis

Denied! What the data says about the Cape Verde goalie’s many blocks

Spain should have defeated Cape Verde by an overwhelming margin, according to the data produced by Northeastern University’s NetSI Sport research group.

But Cape Verde goalkeeper Josimar Dias, known by his nickname Vozinha, made seven saves, six from within the box, denying one of the top-ranked teams in the tournament an early victory, according to Brennan Klein, director of Northeastern University’s NetSI Sport research group.  

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The official 2026 FIFA World Cup soccer ball on turf.

Data predicted sensational scoring by Brazilian star Vinícius Júnior

A Northeastern researcher used data to predict Vinícius Júnior's goal against Morocco in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

At the 31-minute mark of Brazil’s World Cup opening match Saturday against Morocco, forward Vinícius Júnior received a clever pass from his teammate just inside the scoring box. The Brazilian star made a series of quick, precise dribbles with his right foot. Outmaneuvering his defender, he moved into a prime scoring position and fired a blazing, angled shot past the goalie. The ball sailed into the far right corner of the net, tying the game at 1-1. 

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Two students seen from behind as they watch a World Cup match between Spain and Cabo Verde on a large screen at Northeastern's Center for Intercultural Engagement watch party.

World Cup watch party brings Northeastern students together

“The FIFA World Cup represents this very unique shared experience across the world and I think that really represents our community.”

From the corner of an otherwise silently studious Curry Student Center at Northeastern University, a chorus of “Ohhh!”s rang out.

Cape Verde’s goalkeeper Vozinha, whose full name is Josimar José Évora Dias, had saved yet another goal in the country’s FIFA World Cup debut against powerhouse Spain. And the nearly dozen football fanatics and casual observers who watched Monday’s match from Northeastern University’s Center for Intercultural Engagement couldn’t contain their excitement.

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Thiago Almada throws water on his face on the soccer pitch.

Will World Cup water breaks have a big impact on team tactics?

FIFA's hydration breaks at the World Cup are more than a safety measure. Northeastern researchers say they could reshape team tactics.

Qatar’s matchup against Switzerland this weekend in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, is sure to be a hot one — in more ways than one.

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Data Analysis

Could the World Cup trigger the next pandemic? Scientists mapped the risks

The 2026 World Cup is bringing together teams and fans from 48 countries in North America. From travel logistics to the accommodations for hundreds of thousands of visitors, organizers are addressing a host of considerations. For public health officials, one of those factors is also the spread of disease. 

Disease surveillance has taken on a whole new meaning in the post-pandemic world. The Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo may be the event commanding the most attention, but other outbreaks — both domestic and international — are also of concern. COVID-19 is still lingering, global health officials are still monitoring the hantavirus outbreak that rocked a cruise ship last month and here in the U.S., the country is seeing the largest number of measles cases since the disease was considered eradicated in the U.S. in 2000. Meanwhile, more common viruses and bacteria continue to impact our daily lives. 

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The FIFA World Cup 2026 is here. Is Boston ready for it?

The World Cup is a global event that Boston area officials have spent the past two years preparing for. Their efforts will now be tested.

The FIFA World Cup 2026 kicks off in the Boston area this weekend and local officials say the region is prepared for crowds, traffic, severe weather and security threats based on its experience with the Boston Marathon, New England Patriots football games and other major events.   

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Data Analysis

Here’s what the analyzed data says about the top World Cup teams

Soccer is like a dance, and every team competing in the FIFA World Cup 2026 will bring its own signature style and choreography to the pitch. 

Team Spain employs a more direct style of play, prioritizing attackers Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, for example. Team Portugal places a major focus on its midfielders such as Bernardo Silva.    

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Data Analysis

12 players to watch in the FIFA World Cup 2026, according to the data

Who are the top players to watch in the FIFA World Cup 2026? 

Northeastern University Network Science Institute researchers have analyzed an extensive, comprehensive dataset and compiled a list of key players.

Brennan Klein, assistant teaching professor of physics, leads a research team that pairs its study of complex networks with a passion for soccer. 

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Data Analysis

Researchers decode hidden patterns in World Cup data

Team Australia kicked it long from the goalkeeper. Switzerland took a slower approach and preferred short passes over long drives. Spain, on the other hand, tended to string the ball with sharp, sideways passes across the field. 

Those are a few of the takeaways from passing-style graphics that Northeastern University’s Network Science Institute developed of the top soccer teams at the FIFA World Cup 2022 that showcased their most distinctive passing clusters. 

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