“Flood hazard is typically evaluated by computing extreme flood probabilities from a flood frequency distribution following nationally defined procedures. … These procedures, also known as flood frequency analysis, typically recommend only one probability distribution family for all watersheds within a country or region. However, large uncertainties associated with extreme flood probability estimates (>50-year flood or Q50) can be further biased when fit to an inappropriate distribution model. … Here, we demonstrate that hydroclimatic parameters can aid in the selection of a parametric flood frequency distribution.”

Find the paper and full list of authors at Hydrology and Earth System Sciences.