Forbes: Ebola is coming. A travel ban won’t stop outbreaks.
Forbes - 10/13/2014
Professor Alex Vespignani, a physicist at Northeastern University in Boston, MA, has developed a computer model that predicts how air traffic affects the spread of Ebola.
His team at the Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems used a high-resolution map of human populations (3300 locations in 220 countries) and added daily airline passenger traffic. This model considers connecting flights and final destinations, plus details of the disease dynamics, such as incubation time of the Ebola virus and the fact a susceptible individual can only be infected by someone who shows symptoms of illness.