The Boston Globe: Ebola cases from infected travelers likely to increase as the outbreak rages on
Boston Globe - 10/01/2014
When the first case of Ebola was diagnosed in the United States this week, Northeastern University researcher Alessandro Vespignani was not surprised. For weeks, the data scientist who designs and runs big computer simulations of infectious disease outbreaks has been carefully tweaking a model to project the spread of the virus.
The current risk of an infected person arriving in the US is around 10 percent, a chance that is projected to grow over the next month to about a 25 percent probability by the third week of October.