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  • How to keep reducing Chicago bloodshed in 2018

    Chicago Tribune - 12/29/2017

    This focus on body counts is a lurid necessity to assess trends in public safety. But increases or declines in annual totals can be illusory. There are thousands, yes thousands, of shootings each year in Chicago. The difference between being wounded and killed can come down to how swiftly a victim gets to the hospital. Each shooting is a discrete event, involving a motive, availability of a gun, quality of aim, even the weather. So patterns can deceive. As Northeastern University criminologist James Alan Fox has counseled us: “Short-term crime shifts are not reliable trends. Do not make more of them than they deserve.”

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