Boston researchers trying to forecast Ebola’s spread, but more data would help
BetaBoston - 09/02/2014
As the biggest Ebola outbreak in history continues to claim lives, a handful of researchers are using mathematical models and knowledge about the virus to predict the reach of the disease before it strikes. Among them is Northeastern University researcher Alessandro Vespignani, but he and others are stymied by a lack of data about the outbreak and the disease itself, according to a news report in Science.
Vespignani’s projections estimate that the disease could reach 10,000 cases by September, if control efforts do not ramp up, Science correspondent Kai Kupferschmidt reports. Vespignani is also tracking the possibility of spread to other countries.